From our friends at CalculatedRisk.com. The number of “Serious” defaults or those 90 days in arrears is dropping steadily. At this rate 8 months from now we’ll be “back” to normal!
Bill McBride on 9/29/2016 05:09:00 PM
Fannie Mae reported today that the Single-Family Serious Delinquency rate declined in August to 1.24%, down from 1.30% in July. The serious delinquency rate is down from 1.62% in August 2015.
These are mortgage loans that are “three monthly payments or more past due or in foreclosure”.
This is the lowest rate since April 2008.
The Fannie Mae serious delinquency rate peaked in February 2010 at 5.59%.
Although the rate is generally declining, the “normal” serious delinquency rate is under 1%.
The Fannie Mae serious delinquency rate has fallen 0.38 percentage points over the last year, and at that rate of improvement, the serious delinquency rate will not be below 1% for about 8 more months.
Read more at http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2016/09/fannie-mae-mortgage-serious-delinquency.html#yAbZZRls8lYSAVGG.99